To predict or not to predict, that is the question.

As humans and certainly as traders we are obsessed with predicting. I guess we as a species have an intrinsic uneasiness with the present. From time to time I am reminded of the almost cliche concept of “living in the moment”. Our intrinsic restlessness makes the attainment of this state, at least for some, a  […]

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Market Math

The concept central to technical analysis is that price is the outward expression of all factors fundamental, be they known or unknown. The short version of this idea is that “price discounts everything”. Acceptance of this notion, compels a deeper look into price. On various levels, price can be interpreted as a number. Any given […]

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Near Term Trades

Optimally, my analysis projects junction points in the energy curves of  a market, which enables me to isolate turning point zones that act as edge domains. Both numerical and geometric analyses are employed to delineate these profit zones. In environs less than optimal, I’ll consider and utilize any approach which might isolate alignments leading to […]

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“Extraordinary Popular Delusions”

This coming Saturday, I’ll give a webinar. The theme of this presentation will I hope, outline the informational spaces between different markets(AKA, inter-market analysis). Considering the behavior, of the reaction space, between one market and another, sometimes allows one to infer something about either one or both of the boundary markets. My approach in acquiring […]

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The No Inflation Trade

It is no accident, that I’m not a fundamentalist. The abstraction implicit to the technical approach, aids and abets my natural taciturnity. The idea that price discounts everything (known and unknown) appeals to me. Abstraction, also generalizes, which in turn allows for very economical application to a spectrum of domains. Since I’m not inclined nor […]

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Action and Reaction

Some things are immutable. The idea that when a force is applied to something, that something in turn applies an equal force but in the opposite direction, being one of them. I don’t need Elliott wave to know that silver prices ascended from March of 1993 to April 2011. From that point a bear market […]

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Time Series Analysis in Market Forecasting

Turbulence is inherently complex. The complexity of financial markets arises due to two factors.  First, they are dynamic, and as such are described by more than a single equation. Second, they are nonlinear, which means that whatever equations are involved, they are complicated by the presence of exponents. Furthermore, we don’t even know what the […]

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Markets approach critical point

W.D. Gann stressed the idea that “When time has come, then and only then will a market move”. More deeply his insights point to the equivalency of time and price as superficial markers of energy. Current calculations suggest that time is running out for various financial sectors to reach critical resonance points correlated with directional […]

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Mentoring is integral to success in speculation

First and foremost, trading is a probabilities business. It’s primary component being information. The acquisition of  relevant information, and the analytical skills necessary forcorrect interpretation are central to investment success. Like all games, financial speculation has many rules and numerous variables. The challenges peculiar to this business, specifically arise from the fact, that there are […]

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Finding the Market’s Mojo

To follow a trend, once it has begun, or to anticipate a trend in advance of its start, are two opposite approaches that speculators consider.  In order to improve my edge, I continually look for ways to reconcile  the different analytical types. Curiously, I often use the Elliott Wave Principle to liaison my trend analysis […]

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