market forcasting // Posts tagged as "market forcasting"

30 Sep Posted by Glenn Thompson in Market Forecasting | Comments Off

Numbers -The Matrix of All Market Motion

Financial time series modeling should incorporate cyclical analysis. The basis of all cycles is vibration. If an object or a system is stationary, in a particular reference frame, then presumably there is no vibration; although the potential for vibration does exist. If at some point, a polarity manefests, the stationary system aquires the potential for […]

20 Jul Posted by Glenn Thompson in Techical Analysis | Comments Off

Using Technical Analysis to Conjure Up a Trade

Sometimes, when I’m waiting for all the alignments I think create a perfect setup for a trade entry, I get tired of waiting. For example, the next big move, and thereby trade, I anticipate in the stock sector is on August 15th. While I’m waiting for that “ideal” setup to arrive, I’ll sometimes attempt […]

29 Jun Posted by Glenn Thompson in Market Forecasting | Comments Off

July 4th Marks the Spot for the Stock Market

To paraphrase W.D. Gann, a market will not do, what its going to do, unless and until it’s time has come. This concept is central to my investment and trading philosophy. Recently, I pointed out in a webinar that the first step I take to locate a good trade is to establish a time […]

02 Nov Posted by Glenn Thompson in Market Forecasting | Comments Off

EQUITIES ALERT

The market has finally arrived in the window where a number of time projection relationships converge. Structurally, the market top of last week (10/27/11) marks the end of a correction (possibly) a 4th wave. The inside formation seen in today’s S&P trade correlates strongly with continuation to the downside. Basis the SPY, the move […]

15 Sep Posted by Hany Labib in Market Forecasting | Comments Off

This is What I Told My Students

Sell Gold GCZ11 or YGZ11 (mini)! At $1800/oz, it is possible to see $1500 per oz. by year end. Please note this is my personal opinion, and it has nothing to do with my mechanical method. I like to call it Hany’s bad habits!!! Reason: Would rather buy a Greek bond yielding 60% per […]

04 Aug Posted by Hany Labib in Market Forecasting | Comments Off

Commodities Instruction

Today the stock market and crude oil collapsed! Is this a trend or a correction? Time to measure the psychology of the market. My students and I follow a mechanical method that measures the market psychology and use this information to position our trades. So far, we were short the stock market and short the crude […]

11 Jun Posted by Hany Labib in Market Forecasting | Comments Off

Signals for 06/13/2011

SELL GOLD This is what John Maynard Keynes would say if he were alive today! A recent article in a financial paper advocated a return to the Gold Standard, and disagreed with John Maynard Keynes’ famous statement “Gold is a barbarous relic”. The financial meltdown of 2008 and the current Middle East turmoil […]

09 Jun Posted by Glenn Thompson in Market Forecasting | Comments Off

Update on time target arrival

In my Webinar presentation last Saturday, I provided some dates that I think will mark turning points for the stockmarket. The next date to arrive is June 12, 2011 (This coming Sunday). Since this arrives on the weekend, I’m anticipating a turn on Monday 06/13/11. Considering the recent trend, it appears the market is likely to […]

29 May Posted by Glenn Thompson in Market Forecasting | Comments Off

System Design Alternatives

There is certainly no lack of methods for predicting time series. Traditional econometric models (e.g. ARMA) as well as various GARCH formulations have been extensively applied. More recently models based on Pareto-Levy (nonlinear) distributions incorporating embeddings in phase-space reconstructions have had some success. Neural networks, genetic algorithms, and their A.I. spinoffs are also used with […]

29 Apr Posted by Glenn Thompson in Trend Analysis | Comments Off

Trend Analysis

All forms of technical analysis are arbitrary from the standpoint of attempting to indicate what should or could occur. They are also arbitrary to the extent they attempt to anticipate a change in the market’s behavior, say from moving up to down or vice versa. The one exception to this is a certain pure […]

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market forcasting // Posts tagged as "market forcasting"

Numbers -The Matrix of All Market Motion

Using Technical Analysis to Conjure Up a Trade

July 4th Marks the Spot for the Stock Market

EQUITIES ALERT

This is What I Told My Students

Commodities Instruction

Signals for 06/13/2011

Update on time target arrival

System Design Alternatives

Trend Analysis

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