Technical Analysis // Posts tagged as "Technical Analysis"

02 Aug Posted by Glenn Thompson in Market Forecasting | Comments Off

ORDER RESTORED TO THE EQUITY MARKET

Finally the world is perfect again! Today’s action in the stock market confirms the expectation for lower prices. As we discussed in our posting, last Thursday, the market turned on a dime during Monday’s early morning trade, marking the end of the correction wave # 2 and the start of the impulsive wave #3. Basis the September e-mini, […]

03 Jul Posted by Glenn Thompson in Market Forecasting | Comments Off

Current Projection for Equity Markets

Basis the September e-mini S&P, the next major time target I’ve projected is July 31st. This date arrives on a Sunday, so my expectation for a significant transition in the behavior of the market will likely be as of Monday, August 1st. During the first part of last week, I had worked out some overhead […]

09 Jun Posted by Glenn Thompson in Market Forecasting | Comments Off

Update on time target arrival

In my Webinar presentation last Saturday, I provided some dates that I think will mark turning points for the stockmarket. The next date to arrive is June 12, 2011 (This coming Sunday). Since this arrives on the weekend, I’m anticipating a turn on Monday 06/13/11. Considering the recent trend, it appears the market is likely to […]

29 May Posted by Glenn Thompson in Market Forecasting | Comments Off

System Design Alternatives

There is certainly no lack of methods for predicting time series. Traditional econometric models (e.g. ARMA) as well as various GARCH formulations have been extensively applied. More recently models based on Pareto-Levy (nonlinear) distributions incorporating embeddings in phase-space reconstructions have had some success. Neural networks, genetic algorithms, and their A.I. spinoffs are also used with […]

29 Apr Posted by Glenn Thompson in Trend Analysis | Comments Off

Trend Analysis

All forms of technical analysis are arbitrary from the standpoint of attempting to indicate what should or could occur. They are also arbitrary to the extent they attempt to anticipate a change in the market’s behavior, say from moving up to down or vice versa. The one exception to this is a certain pure […]

21 Apr Posted by Glenn Thompson in Market Forecasting | Comments Off

Positioning For Collapse

Today’s trade in the June S&P continued the advance which came on the heels of the key reversal bottom which formed this past Monday. This three day advance fits perfectly with my expectation for the trend to reverse at the 4/22-4/23 time target. The post yesterday explained procedurally that I would expect the move to […]

20 Apr Posted by Glenn Thompson in Market Forecasting | Comments Off

Red Alert Continued

The strength we saw in the major equity indices today is more consistent with the market forming a top as we approach time targets of 4/22 and 4/23. Based on the notion that the market low that formed two days ago on 4/18 represents the start of a new thrust upward, the expectation is that its run […]

18 Apr Posted by Glenn Thompson in Market Forecasting, Options Analysis | Comments Off

A Fairy Tale

Once upon a time, many eons ago,there lived a young man, who lived in the district of the “Dark Side”. His village was so named, since it was widely believed that no one could predict the future. Being a young lad he found this quite sad and at least quite peculiar. For what was obvious […]

08 Apr Posted by Glenn Thompson in Day Trading | Comments Off

Intra-Day Time Projection

The charts of the 5 minute e-mini show a precise application of a geometric time projection I made earlier this morning. The use of a circle drawn with its center at the bottom at 8:15 and its circumference point at the high of 8:40, projected a time target of 12:05. The second chart shows the […]

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Technical Analysis // Posts tagged as "Technical Analysis"

ORDER RESTORED TO THE EQUITY MARKET

Current Projection for Equity Markets

Update on time target arrival

System Design Alternatives

Trend Analysis

Positioning For Collapse

Red Alert Continued

A Fairy Tale

Intra-Day Time Projection

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