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Land of the Setting Sun and Investment Opportunities

Land of the Setting Sun and Investment Opportunities

To the extent central banks will be unable or disinclined to adjust rates, I project significant volatility increases overall. Most directly in the various financial sectors and particularly in the currencies, we can expect widening bands of volatility. As we move through 2015, I expect great opportunities in forex. Japan’s debt crisis in particular, and […]

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OIL AS A SPECULATIVE CHIP

OIL AS A SPECULATIVE CHIP

Rarely does the focus of my analysis revolve around fundamentals. However, when it comes to oil? I think little is needed to argue the strategic importance of oil, as it provides the primary cornerstone of our global economy. Recent slides in it’s price have caused me to reflect on its role throughout time,as a primary […]

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Why Financial Speculation is so Special

Why Financial Speculation is so Special

In order for most businesses and most things in general, to work and be successful, some amount of marketing is required. Herein lies the major difference between “most businesses”,and trading. In fact, I’m certain this is a primary feature that attracted me to trading more than thirty years ago. For the most part, in the […]

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The Thrill of Trading

The Thrill of Trading

I recently wrote a piece touting the importance of market timing as a lead up to my upcoming webinar. The primary focus of the article was the idea that time targets are complimentary to price targets, and as such more fully equip a trader. In my mentoring of other traders, through the years, and certainly […]

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I get my edge from timing

I get my edge from timing

A basic premise of technical analysis is that all information one needs is contained in the price. By extension, each and every day and in fact each and every moment, a market’s price composed of a time and a price component. In other words this space/time or more specifically price/time continuum of energy is what […]

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To predict or not to predict, that is the question.

To predict or not to predict, that is the question.

As humans and certainly as traders we are obsessed with predicting. I guess we as a species have an intrinsic uneasiness with the present. From time to time I am reminded of the almost cliche concept of “living in the moment”. Our intrinsic restlessness makes the attainment of this state, at least for some, a  […]

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Market Math

Market Math

The concept central to technical analysis is that price is the outward expression of all factors fundamental, be they known or unknown. The short version of this idea is that “price discounts everything”. Acceptance of this notion, compels a deeper look into price. On various levels, price can be interpreted as a number. Any given […]

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Near Term Trades

Near Term Trades

Optimally, my analysis projects junction points in the energy curves of  a market, which enables me to isolate turning point zones that act as edge domains. Both numerical and geometric analyses are employed to delineate these profit zones. In environs less than optimal, I’ll consider and utilize any approach which might isolate alignments leading to […]

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Action and Reaction

Action and Reaction

Some things are immutable. The idea that when a force is applied to something, that something in turn applies an equal force but in the opposite direction, being one of them. I don’t need Elliott wave to know that silver prices ascended from March of 1993 to April 2011. From that point a bear market […]

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Time Series Analysis in Market Forecasting

Time Series Analysis in Market Forecasting

Turbulence is inherently complex. The complexity of financial markets arises due to two factors.  First, they are dynamic, and as such are described by more than a single equation. Second, they are nonlinear, which means that whatever equations are involved, they are complicated by the presence of exponents. Furthermore, we don’t even know what the […]

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